The replacement administrator for Astral Codex Ten identifies as female.

Who will be the administrator of the AstralCodexTen Discord server on January 1, 2023?

Will Russia control Kyiv as of April 2, 2022

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will Gerhard Schröder (Former German Chancellor) resign as a board member at Gazprom before March 3rd 2022?

Xi Jinping will successfully mediate a talk between Vladimir Puti and at least 5 NATO leaders by March 15th, 2022.

Will the first digit of the pool size be a 1?

Will the State of the Union Address on March 1, 2022 include a declaration of victory over COVID-19?

Will at least 75% of the USA COVID-19 cases between 1/1/22 and 2/28/23 occur between 1/1/22 and 2/28/22?

This resolves to the direction of highest bet that has a comment.

Will my upcoming post "Microaddictions" get more than 100 Substack likes?

Who will win the PredictIt Degenerates poker game on Wednesday, March 2nd?

Will the 'Commitments' community have 50 or more markets by 2022-06-01?

Will Midnight the stray cat allow humans to pet her by April 1st, 2022

Will Tcs companies have a total capitalization of $200m by the end of 2022?

Which Beeminder feature/project will have the highest ROI?

Will Russia be suspended from SWIFT by March 15, 2022?

Suggest features.

Will Putin get killed by 2022?

Will an Apple headset with VR / AR be available to purchase in 2022?

Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?

Will it be confirmed that Volodymyr Zelenskyy was killed or captured by Russian military forces before March 5th Pacific Time?

Is it true that Ukraine has shot down two Russian IL-76 transport planes?

Will Manifold's New Automatic Loan on First $M 20 Create Inflation in $M?

By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

Will Putin be overthrown during 2022?

Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?

Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023?

Will at least one nuclear strike hit a city with 100000+ population in February or March 2022?

Will Ukraine join the Union State by 2023?

Will any country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?

Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?

5. Will the Beijing Olympics happen successfully on schedule?

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2022 NBA Championship?

Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Will more than 100,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?

#Omicron has a 100% or bigger transmission advantage in practice versus Delta

Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Will Solana have a higher market cap than Ethereum before the end of 2022?

Will the current Russia/Ukraine peace talks result in peace?

Will Volodymyr Zelensky remain President of Ukraine by 2023?

Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?

Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries?

Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?

Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?

Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?

Will Russian troops invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia prior to 2024?

Will this market have at least M$31,415 invested into it by Pi Day (March 14th)?

Will Vladimir Putin be removed from Power in 2022?

Who will be pregnant first?

Will Norway will win the most medals at the 2022 Winter Olympics?

Will the United States Federal Government freeze bank accounts related to the upcoming Washington, D.C. trucker protester similar to how it happened in Canada this year?

Will Mantic Markets have over $1M in revenue by 2023?

Will the implied probability of this question stay below 25% for at least 12 hours and then stay above 50% for at least 12 hours?

Will my child have blonde or red hair?

Will more than 5,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?

Will a major/Triple-A game engine support "geometric algebra" operations out-of-the-box by January 2026?

How will Manifold loans work at the end of March?

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2022?

Will any nuclear facility, either power generation, disposal or Chernobyl exclusion zone within Ukraine cause any danger to the public in the next couple months?

Will the Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade in 2022?

Google US employees working more from office than home at some point in 2022

Will I be pregnant before I turn 34?

Will 1=1 on January 1st 2023?

Will Russia control the majority of the Ukraine by January 1st, 2023?

Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023?

Will this market have M$20,000 invested by March 11th?

Which month will a vaccine for a COVID-19 variant be approved by the FDA?

What should we call the digital currency used to bet on Manifold Markets

Putin still president on June 1, 2024. Note that the 2024 Russia Presidential election is scheduled for March 17 and the inauguration for May 7.

Will Apple release a 27"+ Apple Silicon iMac before May 2022?

89. Will Manifold Markets still be alive and active by the end of 2022?

Will at least 3 million Americans die from nuclear war in 2022?

Will Truth Social reach the top ten free apps in the iOS app store in March 2022?

Will I read 50 books in 2022?

Will Elon Musk run for president in 2024?

Will a vaccine for a COVID-19 variant be approved before May 1st?

Will martial law be declared in Russia by April 1st?

Will I receive a grant of $50,000 USD before June 1st, 2022?

Will Apple release a 27"+ Apple Silicon iMac before 2023?

Will Apple release a 27"+ Apple Silicon iMac before October 2022?

Will Apple release a 27"+ Apple Silicon iMac before July 2022?

Will Apple release a 27"+ Apple Silicon iMac before April 2022?C

Will the evidence linked below this market change how I feed my vegetarian toddler?

Will the pool size be divisible by 3 on close

Will I update towards a more positive view of auto-scientific-literature-review site Consensus in the next six months?

Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?

Will I finish "Gödel, Escher, Bach" by 2023?

If we monetize by selling Mantic Dollars for real money, will it work well enough that we keep it for at least a couple months?

We are broadly looking at a future crisis situation with widely overwhelmed American hospitals, new large American lockdowns and things like that

Will the S&P 500 move 1% or more in either direction on March 3rd, 2022?

Will I submit to the 2022 Astral Codex Ten book review contest?

What character will Brandon Sandersons Secret Project #4 be focused on?

Will NASA launch the Space Launch System by the end of June?

Will Putin be replaced by someone equally bad or worse before the end of 2023.

If I get a Covid test by March 10th, will it be positive?

Will Putin invade any NATO countries in 2022?

Will Bandcamp get notably worse in at least one axis as a result of them being acquired by Epic Games by the end of 2022?